Notes
Introduction
New York City, often called the "Big Apple," has always fascinated me. Its vibrant energy, rich diversity, and iconic skyline have captivated my imagination. I have long wondered about the forces that make NYC so magnetic. Millions aspire to live and invest here, drawn to its unique appeal. One of the key drivers of this allure, I realized, is real estate. These patterns reveal compelling stories about the city and its character.
My curiosity about real estate deepened during a summer internship with a private equity firm specializing in real estate investments. It was an eye-opening experience that allowed me to explore the financial mechanics behind property acquisitions, development projects, and long-term investment strategies. I was fascinated by how decisions were made—balancing risk, opportunity, and the pulse of the market. Yet, the more I learned, the more questions I had. What drives certain investments to succeed while others falter? How do urban landscapes evolve as a result of these decisions? These questions stayed with me long after the internship ended.
At the same time, I found myself drawn into thought-provoking conversations about homeownership with people from different generations. Among my peers—Millennials and Gen-Z—the sentiment was often skeptical. Many viewed buying a home as less of a financial milestone and more of a deeply personal decision. To them, it was simply a place to live, not a guaranteed path to building wealth. Some even argued that in today's economic landscape, investing in a home felt like an outdated ideal. In contrast, older generations, including Baby Boomers and Gen-X, held a starkly different perspective. For them, homeownership represented stability and security—a cornerstone of the American Dream. They saw real estate as one of the safest and most reliable ways to build wealth, on par with stocks or bonds. The confidence in property as a long-term investment, passed down through decades of economic cycles, stood in sharp contrast to the doubts voiced by younger generations. As The New York Times once noted, "Owning a home has long been seen as the foundation of the American Dream, but for younger generations, that dream has become increasingly out of reach due to soaring costs and shifting priorities."
These conversations added a new layer to my understanding of real estate. They revealed not just financial considerations but also the emotional and generational influences that shape people's choices. I began to wonder: What explains these shifting attitudes? Is it the economic realities of rising prices and stagnant wages, or is it a cultural shift in how we define success and security? These questions fueled my desire to explore the broader dynamics of real estate, not just as an industry but as a lens to understand society.
These opposing perspectives drove me to explore a deeper question: Is homebuying in NYC still a sound investment, or have the underlying factors reshaped the landscape? Real estate, especially in a city as dynamic as New York, is shaped by an intricate web of factors. Economic shifts, demographic trends, urban development, and policy changes all play significant roles. But NYC’s real estate story is more layered. Forces like neighborhood gentrification, skyrocketing housing demand, widening income inequality, and even the ripples of global market conditions add complexity. Each element contributes to a narrative of constant change, leaving me wondering: How has NYC’s real estate market evolved over the decades? And more importantly, in such a high-stakes and fast-changing environment, does homeownership still hold its place as a sound investment strategy?
Then, the COVID-19 pandemic arrived, disrupting markets and rewriting expectations. The impact on NYC was unlike anything I had imagined. During the early days of the pandemic, a mass exodus unfolded as many residents fled the city in search of more space and suburban comfort. Suddenly, neighborhoods that once thrived on their vibrant, bustling energy felt empty. Property prices dropped, and an eerie uncertainty settled over the market. Yet, amid the chaos, some people saw opportunity. Investors and first-time buyers alike began capitalizing on reduced prices and historically low interest rates, eager to stake their claim in a city known for resilience.
The shifts went beyond just numbers. The pandemic changed how people thought about where they lived. Priorities shifted. Space became a luxury, outdoor amenities gained new importance, and proximity to work suddenly mattered less in a world of remote jobs. Neighborhoods once overlooked became hotspots, while some previously sought-after areas lost their appeal. Commuting patterns, once a defining factor for many buyers, fell to the background as hybrid work models emerged.
These changes made me realize that the real estate market is not just about transactions—it’s about people, their choices, and their adaptability. As the city begins to recover, I’m fascinated by how these temporary disruptions might influence long-term trends. Will NYC’s real estate market revert to its pre-pandemic patterns, or has it entered a new era? What lessons can we learn from this period of upheaval, and how will they shape the future of homeownership in one of the world’s most iconic cities? These are the questions that continue to fuel my curiosity and drive my exploration.
This paper speaks to a diverse audience with a shared interest in NYC's real estate market. Investors can gain insights to maximize returns, while developers can identify neighborhoods with growth potential. Policymakers and urban planners will find data to support equitable housing and sustainable development. For everyday New Yorkers, this research offers a closer look at how real estate trends impact neighborhoods, affordability, and the city’s future. By focusing on key trends and actionable insights, this research seeks to provide value to anyone invested in the future of NYC’s real estate landscape.
I’m accustomed to leveraging data and building dashboards to uncover trends and inform strategic decisions. Applying those same skills to my personal curiosity, I embarked on a deep dive into NYC’s real estate market to answer a question that had long intrigued me. After research, I conducted a deep dive into decades of market trends. I drew on datasets from trusted sources, including Zillow, the NYC Department of Finance, and the U.S. Census Bureau. This intensive process uncovered fascinating patterns in pricing dynamics, neighborhood evolution, and socioeconomic influences. For example, I identified trends that reflect how economic shifts and policy changes ripple through communities, reshaping the market in both expected and surprising ways. These findings offered a new lens through which to view the complexity of NYC’s real estate landscape.
Through my work with Manifold, a powerful platform that combines HTML and CSS, I was able to create a fully customized and interactive digital environment to present my real estate data. The process of learning Manifold was a journey that started with mastering the basics of web development—building strong HTML foundations—before moving on to more advanced styling techniques with CSS. One of the most valuable skills I gained was how to integrate real-time data into my dashboards and create interactive features that allowed users to explore different datasets related to real estate trends. This experience not only sharpened my front-end development skills but also taught me how to present complex data in a way that’s both accessible and engaging. It really became an essential tool for my capstone project, and I’m excited to continue using it in the future.